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Old November 21st, 2006, 01:21 PM   #1 (permalink)
bedir than average
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Default THe AL MVP goes to Morneau

Twin First Bagger beats out Jeter

Morneau, Jeter, Ortiz, Thomas, Dye, Maeur, Santana, Hafner, Guerrero, and C.Guillen are the top ten.

I'm surprised that Morneau won, I didn't even expect him to be higher than his two teammates.

Guillen coming in 10th hurts as the Seattle Mariners got nothing for him.
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Old November 21st, 2006, 01:21 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Default The AL MVP goes to Twin Morneau

Twin First Bagger beats out Jeter

Morneau, Jeter, Ortiz, Thomas, Dye, Maeur, Santana, Hafner, Guerrero, and C.Guillen are the top ten.

I'm surprised that Morneau won, I didn't even expect him to be higher than his two teammates.

Guillen coming in 10th hurts as the Seattle Mariners got nothing for him.
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Old November 21st, 2006, 01:35 PM   #3 (permalink)
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I think it was deserved. He had an amazing year, and really carried that team through some stretches. Mauer gets all the attention, but it was Morneau hurting people...
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Old November 21st, 2006, 01:39 PM   #4 (permalink)
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He won deservatively so. I don't think he would have won if the Twins didn't win the AL Central, though (I still would have voted for him, but it's just my opinion that he wouldn't have gotten as many votes that way).

He set a franchise record for RBI's, is that correct?
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Old November 21st, 2006, 02:36 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Yep, but RBIs don't tell the whole picture.

I'm a bit fan of Win Probability Added for something like MVP

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.asp...=0&season=2006

Ortiz, Jeter and Dye all beat Morneau who barely edges out Hafner.

If one prefers Win Shares Morneau comes in fifth.

He is also beaten by guys who play tougher positions on teams that won as many games.
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Old November 21st, 2006, 02:53 PM   #6 (permalink)
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I thought Jeter was gonna get it but im glad that it was Morneau. I said that if Jeter didnt win it Morneau would and he did. Morneau had a great year and this is a sign that he should be around as a elite hitter for a while.
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Old November 21st, 2006, 05:01 PM   #7 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bedir than average View Post
Yep, but RBIs don't tell the whole picture.
Oh, I'm sure that it doesn't. As a matter of fact, I tend to consider that stat highly overrated. I was just confirming that I had my facts right when I said that. Wasn't trying to prove a point of his MVP status or anything.

One sabermetric that I particularly love is the RC27 stat. It says that, assuming you have a team comprising of nine of the same player, "this" is the number of runs [on average] that your team would score in a game. It doesn't even take RBI's into account with the many formulas that people have come up with for this stat. In 2004, Barry Bonds had a number of like twenty something, which is believable for his average, slugging percentage, and on-base percentage for that year.
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Old November 21st, 2006, 05:11 PM   #8 (permalink)
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ESPN has sortable RC/27

This links to RC/27 AL Qualifiers

Top 5 are Hafner, Manny, Ortiz, Thome, Dye

Morneau comes in 9th behind Mauer.
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Old November 21st, 2006, 07:54 PM   #9 (permalink)
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Of course a good old Canadian wins the award! Congrats Morneau on a great season that was very deserving of the MVP!
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Old November 25th, 2006, 10:02 PM   #10 (permalink)
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Default Suprised the voters got MVP right!

Morneau as MVP is a surprise only because he comes from small market Minnesota. Yankee fans understandably think their guy Jeter got robbed. He indeed had a great year. I love the way that guy plays - he's Hall of Fame stuff! But, once again, the semantics of the term "most valuable" are in question. Is it individual stats? Or value to one's team?

Consider this:
The Yankees, sans Derek Jeter, could have won the pennant. A decent shortstop with an average bat could have been sandwiched into their current "murderers row." The Twins don't come close to a wild card, much less a division championship, without Justin Morneau and his innumerable big hits.

The fact he didn't hit 47 - 50 homers like Ortiz or Howard makes him an underwhelming choice to today's fans, who are used to other "numbers" players from recent times who have compiled huge numbers under shady circumstances (i.e., using "vitamin supplements").

What is not understood nationally about Morneau is that he is an excellent hitter who has become more selective at the plate, taking the ball the other way for doubles and singles to drive in baserunners instead of pulling for the homerun every time up. Also, he didn't have the most dangerous RBI man of the past 25 years (Manny) hitting next to him in the lineup. Therefore, fewer hittable pitches for him. As good as Joe Mauer is, he cannot be labeled a great run producer, at least at this point in his career.

As it is, the Twins have a great nucleus in their batting order for years to come.
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