2007 Season Predictions

[Dante Bichette]

I am going to say the Rocks win 78 games, which is just enough to keep Hurdle around with a new extension and not enough for ownership to consider upping the payroll.

[GerryInCS]

Originally Posted by HoyaRoxFan

Don't know how much stock you folks put in mainstream media sportswriters, but here's a collection of their picks as I find them...


Peter Gammons (ESPN) 84

And for what it's worth, though they don't post projected standings, Peter Barzilai and John Tkach of USA Today predict the Rockies will win the NL West...

I want whatever illegal narcotic these three are taking/smoking. With our starting rotation there's no way in hell we get over .500, much less win the division*.

I think I will stick with my prediction of 69 wins





* Unless Cook and Francis both have miraculous 20+ win seasons and Fogg and Hirsh actually hit double digit wins.

[Dante Bichette]

Well, I was wrong. I said we would win 78 games and that would be enough to bring back Hurdle, but instead all it took was a winning record in spring training.

[indianadrew]

with tonights win the rockies have a winning percentage of .528, which has them projected to win 85 games.

[indianadrew]

Originally Posted by Roxpert

OK, so with Newman now having weighed in, it's time to sum up the preseason predictions for wins mentioned on this thread:

wolf213 - 82
Heltonfan - 78
Roxpert - 75 (and I've also said 73 and 76 in this thread, but 75 was my last)
PECOTA - 80
TheIncredibleRox - 75
DieHardRoxFan - 72
hiaspire - 80
RockieRooter - 83
BigRapidsJackass - 84
GerryInCS - 68
HoyaRoxFan - 83
indianadrew - 85
rockieprogress - 79
Newman - 78
RMF - 86

Thread average (14 predictions, excluding PECOTA) - 79.1

i thought i would bring this back up.

[Roxpert]

You know what, Drew? The 79.1 win thread average will probably end up looking pretty accurate at the end of the season. Hard to believe we'll finish with a winning record given our rotation situation, but I suppose stranger things have happened.

[GerryInCS]

A few more wins and my prediction will be worthless. At the beginning of the season 68 wins seemd like a good prediction. Now. I feel almost stupid

[indianadrew]

wolf213 - 82
PECOTA - 80
hiaspire - 80
RockieRooter - 83
BigRapidsJackass - 84
HoyaRoxFan - 83
indianadrew - 85
rockieprogress - 79
RMF - 86
dante said 78 games in early april

[indianadrew]

wolf213 - 82
PECOTA - 80
hiaspire - 80
RockieRooter - 83
BigRapidsJackass - 84
HoyaRoxFan - 83
indianadrew - 85
rockieprogress - 79
RMF - 86


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
our group gets smaller

[BigRapidsJackass]

Damn, I knew I should've taken the over ...

[rockieprogress]

I'm not going to make it. But this is one list I'll be glad to be removed from.
I think the Rockies team record for wins in a season is likely to fall this year.

[Roxpert]

The record for wins in a season (83) stands a good chance of falling, and I too am glad that my 76-win prediction was smashed. The record for games over .500 (10) from 1995 is likely to stand, however. We would need to finish 86-76 to tie that record, and 87-75 to break it. Going 8-3 would do the trick, but I believe that won't be done. This is yet another prediction of mine that I hope will be wrong.

[indianadrew]

wolf213 - 82
RockieRooter - 83
BigRapidsJackass - 84
HoyaRoxFan - 83
indianadrew - 85
RMF - 86

it just keeps getting smaller
lets keep the ball rolling

[Newman]

Originally Posted by Roxpert

The record for wins in a season (83) stands a good chance of falling, and I too am glad that my 76-win prediction was smashed. The record for games over .500 (10) from 1995 is likely to stand, however. We would need to finish 86-76 to tie that record, and 87-75 to break it. Going 8-3 would do the trick, but I believe that won't be done. This is yet another prediction of mine that I hope will be wrong.

Why do you hope your prediction will be wrong, Pert? I much more prefer it when my predictions come true and validate what a genius I am.

We are currently 81-72 as I type, just before we play in SD vs. Cy Young award likely winner Jake Peavy tonite.

So why did our predictions go wrong, HF? We both picked 78 I see. I was going by "feel" and you were burning up hours of computer time cranking out the same number (ok, I'm exagerating). Holliday had a career year. Helton was great (chuckling). Ubaldo and Franklin did well when they came up. Tulo far exceeded expectations. Hawpe did better too as did Spilly.

Let's say we wind up with 85 wins. That's 85-77, still not 10 games over .500 as Pert points out. And it still doesn't get you into the playoffs so how important is it anyway? Is there any predictive value from this season to next? I think you someone here said NO. So we had one good year. Now what? Why is there reason for optimism? Especially if we are soon to lose Holliday because we have a poor owner.

[DieHardRoxFan]

We'll have to wait and see if in the off season whether the poor owners make it a stronger or weaker team.