Thread: Carvajal
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Old February 13th, 2007, 09:34 PM   #3 (permalink)
BigRapidsJackass
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In the latest chapter of this ongoing soap opera.......the Tampa Bay Devil Rays just designated Carvajal for assignment. I distinctly remember how some people were predicting very high things for this kid.....and while those things still may come eventually, we may have to revist those talks.
O.K., I'll take the bait since I was one of those who criticized O'Dowd for this deal.

First: remember that Torrealba gave us approximately half a year at catcher last year. And he played pretty well when he was healthy -- without looking it up, I'd guess about league average offensively for a catcher, and better than average at controlling the running game. But that may be it for Yorvit, who didn't even catch in Venezuelan winter ball.

Second: Carvajal really shouldn't be downgraded as a prospect yet. His numbers in AA this year: 72.1 IP, .87 HR/9, 8.59 K/9 (for those who care, an ERA of 3.86). The killer: 4.85 BB/9. But lack of control is hardly a new thing with a pitching prospect. And unless we think he's got a fake birth certificate, he just turned 22 last August. For comparison, Juan Morillo is almost a year older, and he put up (albeit as a starter) .83 HR/9, 5.13 BB/9, 8.47 K/9 at Tulsa. We all know Morillo has more talent, but so far that's not really showing up in his stat line. I think guys like Sickels had Carvajal as about a C+ prospect, and I'd say that's still about right. Kind of like Jim Miller -- a guy who may very well have a decent run as a middle of the bullpen guy.

So, yes, it's nice that he's been DFA'd, and if I were O'Dowd I'd be looking to bring him back right now. I don't think that'll happen, since I imagine he'll be part of a minor league swap for a similar middling prospect who fills some need (starting pitcher anyone?) for TB.

My point then (as it is now): a club like the Rockies really shouldn't be giving up any prospect with a decent shot at being a major league contributor for an immediate stopgap solution.

Sure, I overreacted at the time ... but that's an overreaction borne of frustration at the seeming lack of any plan or timetable for competing on the Rockies' behalf.
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