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Heltonfan · 05-10-2008, 01:03 AM

An update, just because I can.

First, here is the current Rockies Top 30 list, as seen by the ProspectBot:

1. Ian Stewart
2. Dexter Fowler
3. Greg Reynolds
4. Hector Gomez
5. Eric Young
6. Chris Nelson
7. Brandon Hynick
8. Darin Holcomb
9. Aneury Rodriguez
10. Chaz Roe
11. Michael McKenry
12. Everth Cabrera
13. Shane Lindsay
14. Xavier Cedeno
15. Brian Rike
16. Daniel Mayora
17. Michael Mitchell
18. Cory Riordan
19. Jhoulys Chacin
20. Helder Velazquez
21. Will Harris
22. Jonathan Herrera
23. Seth Smith
24. Ching Lung Lo
25. Joe Koshansky
26. Kevin Clark
27. Casey Weathers
28. Daniel Carte
29. Connor Graham
30. Corey Wimberly

A few new names on there. Riordan and Graham are our early-season pitching sensations; the ProspectBot didn't like them going into the season because they both got hit fairly hard in their pro debuts, but they have both been dominant at Asheville thus far. Michael Mitchell is a speedy CF drafted last year he's currently hitting .347/.389/.534 with 12 SB. Not too shabby. And his teammates at Asheville, Holcomb and Rike, have each jumped up seven spots over their pre-season ranking.

Franklin Morales, of course, has officially graduated from prospectdom. Note also that the ProspectBot hated Jayson Nix more than anyone else did, myself included... I suppose it deserves some credit there.

A few posts above, I provided the names of the four players that the ProspectBot likes the most, and dislikes the most, compared to other rankings. Here are those names again:

ProspectBot favorites: Kevin Mulvey, Aaron Laffey, Will Inman, Jair Jurrjens
Goldstein/Law favorites: Angel Villalona, Manny Parra, Carlos Carrasco, Eric Hurley

The first thing to note is that none of the Goldstein/Law favorites have really impressed thus far. Villalona is hitting .198/.271/.321. Parra has a 22/17 K/BB and has gotten slaughtered on BABIP. Carrasco is off to a solid start in AA, but he's given up 5 HR in 36 IP. Hurley has a sparkling K rate, but has surrendered 8 HR in 36 IP. No real progress there.

As for the ProspectBot favorites... Mulvey's story is the same as Hurley's, with K rate progress being more than offset by an increased HR rate. Laffey has a 3.76 FIP between AAA and the majors... he's a definite success story. Inman has performed exactly as projected, which is to say that his MLEs have been solid (4.86 FIP, 3.84 ERC) but they don't represent any real progress. And then, there's Jair Jurrjens, who has been one of the best pitchers in the NL thus far (2.78 FIP, 2.32 ERC).

So the wisdom of the ProspectBot seems to be holding up. It ain't perfect, but it still appears to be at least as good as anything else.

05-10-2008, 01:03 AM	#52 (permalink)
Heltonfan Moderator Join Date: Nov 2006 Location: Yerevan, Armenia Posts: 847	An update, just because I can. First, here is the current Rockies Top 30 list, as seen by the ProspectBot: 1. Ian Stewart 2. Dexter Fowler 3. Greg Reynolds 4. Hector Gomez 5. Eric Young 6. Chris Nelson 7. Brandon Hynick 8. Darin Holcomb 9. Aneury Rodriguez 10. Chaz Roe 11. Michael McKenry 12. Everth Cabrera 13. Shane Lindsay 14. Xavier Cedeno 15. Brian Rike 16. Daniel Mayora 17. Michael Mitchell 18. Cory Riordan 19. Jhoulys Chacin 20. Helder Velazquez 21. Will Harris 22. Jonathan Herrera 23. Seth Smith 24. Ching Lung Lo 25. Joe Koshansky 26. Kevin Clark 27. Casey Weathers 28. Daniel Carte 29. Connor Graham 30. Corey Wimberly A few new names on there. Riordan and Graham are our early-season pitching sensations; the ProspectBot didn't like them going into the season because they both got hit fairly hard in their pro debuts, but they have both been dominant at Asheville thus far. Michael Mitchell is a speedy CF drafted last year he's currently hitting .347/.389/.534 with 12 SB. Not too shabby. And his teammates at Asheville, Holcomb and Rike, have each jumped up seven spots over their pre-season ranking. Franklin Morales, of course, has officially graduated from prospectdom. Note also that the ProspectBot hated Jayson Nix more than anyone else did, myself included... I suppose it deserves some credit there. A few posts above, I provided the names of the four players that the ProspectBot likes the most, and dislikes the most, compared to other rankings. Here are those names again: ProspectBot favorites: Kevin Mulvey, Aaron Laffey, Will Inman, Jair Jurrjens Goldstein/Law favorites: Angel Villalona, Manny Parra, Carlos Carrasco, Eric Hurley The first thing to note is that none of the Goldstein/Law favorites have really impressed thus far. Villalona is hitting .198/.271/.321. Parra has a 22/17 K/BB and has gotten slaughtered on BABIP. Carrasco is off to a solid start in AA, but he's given up 5 HR in 36 IP. Hurley has a sparkling K rate, but has surrendered 8 HR in 36 IP. No real progress there. As for the ProspectBot favorites... Mulvey's story is the same as Hurley's, with K rate progress being more than offset by an increased HR rate. Laffey has a 3.76 FIP between AAA and the majors... he's a definite success story. Inman has performed exactly as projected, which is to say that his MLEs have been solid (4.86 FIP, 3.84 ERC) but they don't represent any real progress. And then, there's Jair Jurrjens, who has been one of the best pitchers in the NL thus far (2.78 FIP, 2.32 ERC). So the wisdom of the ProspectBot seems to be holding up. It ain't perfect, but it still appears to be at least as good as anything else.