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bedir than average · December 28th, 2006, 02:32 PM

Jeff Sackman analyzed ERA by rotation slot for 2006

How Good Is Your #4 Starter? -- The Hardball Times

Code:

Lg      #1      #2      #3      #4      #5
MLB     3.60    4.14    4.58    5.10    6.24
AL      3.70    4.24    4.58    5.09    6.22
NL      3.51    4.04    4.57    5.11    6.26

later
SEA     4.22    4.49    4.52    4.67    6.03

He does not address the question about who an "ace" is, but does have the data as to what each team got from their rotation slots.

Which I'm going to have to compare to this year's signings/acquisitions, but compared to the AL averages by slot the Mariners fared better in the last three spots, but struggled at the TOR area. Much of that could point to a struggling Felix Hernandez.

If the top 2 slots start 33 games, and the next three start 32 games you'd have an even distribution. If one were to have Innings Pitched expectations by rotational slot you could start to calculate win added/lost by staff position.

December 28th, 2006, 02:32 PM	#6 (permalink)
bedir than average Hall of Famer Join Date: Nov 2006 Location: Starbucks Posts: 8,258	Jeff Sackman analyzed ERA by rotation slot for 2006 How Good Is Your #4 Starter? -- The Hardball Times Code: Lg #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 MLB 3.60 4.14 4.58 5.10 6.24 AL 3.70 4.24 4.58 5.09 6.22 NL 3.51 4.04 4.57 5.11 6.26 later SEA 4.22 4.49 4.52 4.67 6.03 He does not address the question about who an "ace" is, but does have the data as to what each team got from their rotation slots. Which I'm going to have to compare to this year's signings/acquisitions, but compared to the AL averages by slot the Mariners fared better in the last three spots, but struggled at the TOR area. Much of that could point to a struggling Felix Hernandez. If the top 2 slots start 33 games, and the next three start 32 games you'd have an even distribution. If one were to have Innings Pitched expectations by rotational slot you could start to calculate win added/lost by staff position. __________________ I'm sorry I left for a while. I needed a vaction, and then work changed substantially. I'm over 50 hour weeks, plus two hours a day of commuting time. A few weeks ago I launched my own blog about Seattle Sounders FC and Life in Puget Sound. I won't be by these parts often as my focus has changed. Sorry about the unannounced retirement. Last edited by bedir than average; December 28th, 2006 at 02:36 PM.