Quote:
Originally Posted by Roxpert
Since you look for regression from Atkins and Holliday, where will the slack be picked up?
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C, 1B, and SS. Iannetta projects pretty well, and perhaps just as importantly, we don't have Danny Ardoin around to kill the offense any more. Helton should bounce back somewhat (I know you probably disagree with this one... but the multi-year weighted average projection model is what it is because it works). And if we get merely replacement-level performance out of our shortstops this year, that will be a huge improvement.
And yes, you're right that some of the Rockies' apparent improvement is really just the competition getting worse. But that doesn't make it any less significant.
Finally, as far as the projections are concerned, 79 wins isn't a 3-game improvement from 2006, it's a 3-game dropoff. My system doesn't care that the Rockies underperformed their component stats by six games last year.