Sure, this team CAN contend in 2007. Any team CAN.
But WILL it?
Not with a manager who would put an on-base machine (who has lost power) like Helton in the 5-hole, as you suggest.
Not with a manager who puts two hitters with a lifetime combined OBP of about .320 at the top of the order.
Not with a GM who doesn't really add power to a team that is underpowered (ignoring September 2006).
Finally, not with ownership that is projected to have a cash payroll of $55 million, near the bottom of the MLB heap.
Still, they CAN do it if......
If Tulo wins ROY, with Iannetta finishing a close 2nd (or the other way around).
If Francis, Cook, and one other pitcher combines for 600 IP with a combined ERA around 4.00, similar to last year's Big 3 in the rotation.
If the Matsui we saw in August/Sept. is the Matsui we will get in 2007, and he doesn't revert to his Mets form.
If Helton has a comeback season, and is still with us, not that I'm against a trade.
If Atkins and Holliday weren't both outperforming their true levels in 2006, and can repeat or build on their fine seasons in 2007.
If Hawkins or someone else gives us lights-out 8th innings from the bullpen.
So many IFS..........which is why I doubt they contend.
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