Look, I'll be the first to agree with anyone who argues that our funds could have been allocated differently. That wasn't what I was saying. What I was saying is the extensions/signings we've engaged in with our own players all seem like tremendous deals. It doesn't mean getting them done should have been the first priority.
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I have Corpas's expected salary (based on service time and projected WAR) at a total of $5.25 million over the next four years.
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Have you checked how that holds up specifically with RPs? I mean, thats what the Geoff Geary's of the world make these days... and those are not only far inferior players, but guys a couple years 'less inflated' than his market would have been.
Hoya--sorry if I misunderstood your point with the Weathers comment. I think the broader question is this; is there
ever an apropriate time to take a relief pitcher with the eighth overall pick? A: Yes; the one time every 30 years that a sure-fire Jon Papelbon with an 8-month ETA presents himself. Short of that, not really.
Of course, that doesn't make Weathers less valuable in and of himself. He's a very intriguing relief prospect whether he was taken 8th or 800th.
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Incredible suggested Corpas should settle into a 3.00 reliever for years to come, which I'm all for. But isn't it reasonably likely that he might throw a sub-par year in there at some point over the next four years (I hope he doesn't), which would give the Rockies some discount leverage in arbitration where he not locked up?
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Oh, of course--especially with regard to the arbitration comment (since the sample size is so small, 8 or 9 fluky runs--bad/great defense, bad/great IR luck, bad/greatsituational luck, bad/great BABIP luck--is the diffference between perceived studliness and mediocrity).
It's tough to say if we bought low or high with Corpas-- while he was BABIP lucky and generally outperformed projections, you can expect the price tag to skyrocket with each additional save he notches.
By the way, just so it's clear; that 3.00 I mentioned refers to ERC and/or FIP, not ERA. And based on his last two years, I think that's a pretty conservative estimate. Of course, there's always risk going forward with pitchers. But Manny is a guy with a clean health history and two years of consistent performance; I think we've hedged ourselves well with the price here.