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Heltonfan · November 22nd, 2006, 10:18 AM

Here's how I see the NL West right now:

LA 86-76
SD 85-77
AZ 80-82
COL 79-83
SF 69-93

Obviously, there are some very incomplete teams in this division; the Padres, for instance, project to those 85 wins despite having only three starting pitchers (I assume replacement-level performance from the empty slots) and no second baseman. So merely by filling those gaps, they'll get up around 90 wins.

Anyway, the point is that, thanks in large part to the Dodgers' nice gesture of throwing away more than $60 million on two players that they don't need, we're actually not that far away from serious contention. A couple nice additions, and we'll look like a .500 team going into the season... and that's despite the fact that I'm projecting substantial regression from Atkins and Holliday, and I'm not expecting anything at all out of Tulo. So there's certainly room for the projections to be beaten.

November 22nd, 2006, 10:18 AM	#1 (permalink)
Heltonfan Moderator Join Date: Nov 2006 Location: Yerevan, Armenia Posts: 901	If the season started tomorrow... Here's how I see the NL West right now: LA 86-76 SD 85-77 AZ 80-82 COL 79-83 SF 69-93 Obviously, there are some very incomplete teams in this division; the Padres, for instance, project to those 85 wins despite having only three starting pitchers (I assume replacement-level performance from the empty slots) and no second baseman. So merely by filling those gaps, they'll get up around 90 wins. Anyway, the point is that, thanks in large part to the Dodgers' nice gesture of throwing away more than $60 million on two players that they don't need, we're actually not that far away from serious contention. A couple nice additions, and we'll look like a .500 team going into the season... and that's despite the fact that I'm projecting substantial regression from Atkins and Holliday, and I'm not expecting anything at all out of Tulo. So there's certainly room for the projections to be beaten.