Quote:
Originally Posted by Jaysmaniac
When considering Jennings "never beeen a plus pitcher" .... Don't judge the era by its cover, a little thing called Coors Field seems to adjust that.
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But he hasn't been a plus pitcher other than this past year, even if you discount Coors.
His home ERA this year was actually lower than his road ERA this past year, as well as in 2003:
2006 - 3.78 ERA overall, 3.56 at home, 3.97 road
2005 - 5.02 ERA overall, 5.16 at home, 4.87 road
2004 - 5.51 ERA overall, 6.15 at home, 4.86 road
2003 - 5.11 ERA overall, 4.64 at home, 5.38 road
Coors is a huge factor to most pitchers, but doesnt seem to have had as great an impact on Jennings, at least the last few years. And even if we discount Coors, looking only at his road numbers still stink from 2003 onward, other than this past season.
I'm not saying he wouldnt turn out to be good, maybe he has turned his career around?
But his career pattern looks awfully similar to Josh Towers before last season. And he wants more than $8 million per year. I wouldnt give him that if he was a FA, let alone trading Wells or Reed and a prospect for him.
Its not that I think Jennings is going to pull a Towers and put up an 8.00 ERA or anything next year, its just that I'd be very careful about getting a player who has only put up one good year after a number of poor ones. I wouldnt be surprised if Jennings reverts back to his 5.00 ERA self next season.