Quote:
Originally Posted by bedir than average
So Grandstander, you aren't a fan of Clutch, but you do like Win Probability Added?
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I read the explanation for it and I have the same problem with that which I have with the general concept of clutch. It is entirely an ex post facto set of values, using known results to evaluate a situation before it takes place and the results were known.
If the players actually had all the win probability added numbers in their heads when they are at the plate, then counting how well they respond to those situations might make some sense. Of course they don't, so trying to claim value for those responses is a rather vague assertion. i.e...."Soandos batted better in situation where his opportunities to increase his team's chances to win were .04 % or better and less well in situations where the probabilities were lower"....no, I don't buy that at all because Soandso had no clue that these were the conditions under which he was batting.
Would not the primary requirements for defining a clutch situation for a hitter have to include the hitter being aware that it was clutch?