JC, WARP is cumulative, so the fact that Helton 07 is about even with Grace 01 is primarily a function of the fact that Grace had 540 PAs in 2001 and Helton already has about 450 PAs this year.
So I'll admit that by any measure Helton has been a bit more productive than Grace in 2001 ... but those seasons are still pretty similar. And my point is that we should be viewing Helton from now on as a very useful player who is on the severe downswing. And I'll give O'Dowd credit -- maybe that's one reason why he's so hesitant to deal "blocked" players like Koshansky or Stewart or Baker (the latter two could move Atkins to his natural 1B position).
Roxpert, as for the juicers: Giles had a precipitous power decline after '02. His brother had a similar decline after '05. I think they are prime objects of suspicion. (With Brian we also have to factor in age + the move to Petco.) Klesko is about the clearest unproven case of juicing we've got. LuGo? I'd say more likely than not. Shawn Green? I don't think so, just based on the body type. But I'll be the first to admit it's a pure guess. Delgado? I don't have a clue. Helton? I'd say I'm 70% certain he was juicing. No science or direct evidence supporting that view, but I think he pretty well fits the pattern.
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